It will only fuel more rage if you ignore the people’s economic demands and simply use force in response.

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“Fragmentation of the state is not likely, but we may witness a deep-seated economic catastrophe,” said Arif Rafiq, a nonresident fellow at the Middle East Institute and expert on Pakistan. “It puts simple necessities out of reach, raises food insecurity, and also foments discontent among the population. “It might have serious political repercussions for the army as well as for political parties. It will only fuel more rage if you ignore the people’s economic demands and simply use force in response.

In recent months, Balochistan, a province with abundant natural resources, has seen a rise in both ethnic militants and terrorism from extreme Islamist organisations. Following a horrific suicide bombing last month that claimed the lives of over 100 worshippers attending Friday prayers at a mosque, the Pakistani Taliban, who killed thousands of Pakistanis during the war on terror, made their comeback known. The strike serves as a reminder that Pakistan may once again be affected by instability in nearby Afghanistan, which has seen tens of thousands of casualties during the previous two decades of American involvement. In recent months, Balochistan, a province with abundant natural resources, has seen a rise in both ethnic militants and terrorism from extreme Islamist organisations. Following a horrific suicide bombing last month that claimed the lives of over 100 worshippers attending Friday prayers at a mosque, the Pakistani Taliban, who killed thousands of Pakistanis during the war on terror, made their comeback known. The strike serves as a reminder that Pakistan may once again be affected by instability in nearby Afghanistan, which has seen tens of thousands of casualties during the previous two decades of American involvement.

Although wealthy nations’ contributions to climate change can be partially blamed for the disaster, international aid has been slow and scant, leaving Pakistan largely on its own to pick up the pieces.

Former Pakistani Prime Minister Asif Ali Zardari, who is well-known for his outrageous personal corruption, allegedly told American diplomat Richard Holbrooke that Pakistan was “too big to fail” and compared it to American banks that received sizable bailouts to avoid collapse in 2008. The ability of Pakistan’s leaders to unite and find a solution to the barrage of crises—possibly the worst in the nation’s history—remains to be seen, despite the fact that Pakistan is a nuclear power and the fifth-most populous nation in the world.

There is a great deal of uncertainty because nobody is sure when Pakistan would just stop making payments on its foreign loans, according to Rafiq. Every significant indicator has turned negative, and risk is at an all-time high. Since the government’s legitimacy depends on its capacity to manage the economy, and since things are unlikely to improve anytime soon, it is difficult to see a route to stability.

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